Quarterback · Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
Analysis by Shawn Childs, from his 2026 guide — his words, unedited.
The case
- · After a beast season (5,087 combined yards with 45 touchdowns), Jackson was a shell of himself in 2025 due to hamstring, ankle, and back issues.
- · Baltimore should remain a run-first team (53.7% in 2024 and 54.3% in 2025).
- · Zay Flowers (86/1,273/6 on 118 targets) comes off a career season, and he should assume the volume pass-catching role again this year.
- · Ja’Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarrett improve the Ravens’ wide receiver depth.
Question marks
- · The Ravens moved on from John Harbaugh in the offseason. He was replaced by Jesse Minter, who brings a defensive profile. In 2023, Minter won a college National Championship under Jim Harbaugh and followed him to the Chargers over the past two seasons. He held a defensive coordinator position over the past three seasons.
- · Does Mark Andrews have a bounce-back year in him? If not, Baltimore’s tight end receiving depth is much weaker.
- · From Week 10 to Week 16, across seven games, Jackson lost his magic behind center (177 yards per game, 57.2% completion rate, four touchdowns, and five interceptions).
- · Baltimore lost starting C Tyler Linderbaum to the Raiders (three years for $81 million).
- · Jackson has never attempted more than 475 passes in a season.
Shawn's conclusion
Jackson has been a better passer over the past three seasons based on his completion rate (66.1%) and yards per pass attempt (8.4), but his fantasy floor is driven by his ability to run. He ranked fourth in quarterback scoring in 2023 and first in 2024. Unfortunately, I don’t see enough passing TD’s to fight for him in drafts this year, and three injuries last year may be a hint of more days off in 2026.
More on Jackson
When the lights came on for the 2025 football season, Jackson looked locked in for another impact year. He gained 840 combined yards with 10 touchdowns (89.90 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown formats), with an edge in his completion rate (72.0%) and yards per pass attempt (9.6).
An early exit in Week 4 with a hamstring injury led to three missed starts and lost luster over his final nine games (1,863 combined yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions). Jackson gained only 4.0 yards per rush, with a sharp decline in his completion rate (59.9%). His only other playable fantasy games came in Week 9 (27.60) and Week 14 (24.25). Late in the year, he battled ankle and back issues, resulting in him missing Week 17.
Over the past five seasons, Jackson has missed at least four games three times. He came out of 2025 with no rushes gaining 20 yards (67/349/2), after reaching that threshold 51 times over the previous seven years.
The Ravens lost TE Isiah Likely in the offseason while drafting five offensive skill players in the 2026 NFL Draft (WR Ja’Kobi Lane, WR Elijah Sarrett, TE Matthew Hibner, TE Josh Cuevas, and RB Adam Randall).
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