Quarterback · Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

Shawn's rank: QB1NFFC ADP 41Updated July 30, 2026

Analysis by Shawn Childs, from his 2026 guide — his words, unedited.

The case

· Floor of 39 combined touchdowns over the past six seasons (45, 42, 42, 44, 40, and 39).
· His passing yards have declined in back-to-back years (4,306, 3,731, and 3,668) while coming off a career-low 460 passing attempts.
· Despite his sliding passing opportunity, Allen comes off a career-best 8.0 yards per pass attempt, along with becoming a rushing scoring beast over the past three years (15, 12, and 14 TDs).
· WR DJ Moore gives the Bills a true go-to volume wideout who should be an excellent fit for Buffalo’s offense.
· The Bills want to run the ball (52.5% in 2025 and 48.6% in 2024) and control the clock.

· Can TE Dalton Kincaid stay healthy?
· Will Skyler Bell or Keon Coleman develop into a trusted WR3 option?
· Did Buffalo’s offensive line add enough to offset the loss of G David Edwards (signed with the Saints for $61 million for four years)?

Foundation stud who projects as a value in the National Fantasy Football Championship.

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