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Quarterback · New York Jets

Geno Smith — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

Shawn's rank: QB32Bye 13Updated July 30, 2026

Analysis by Shawn Childs, from his 2026 guide — his words, unedited.

After being a slightly better than a league average quarterback in wins (27-22) over three seasons for the Seattle Seahawks, Smith rarely won games for the Las Vegas Raiders (2-13). His completion rate (67.4%) was reasonable, but he completed 17 passes to opposing defenses while gaining only 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Smith was sacked 55 times (50 in 2024). Over the past four seasons, he fumbled the ball 26 times, with eight miscues being recovered by the defense.

Smith beat the New England Patriots on the road in Week 1 by passing for a season-high 362 yards and one score. Over his 14 starts, he averaged 29.6 passes per game, leading to nine outcomes with fewer than 202 yards passing. His best two fantasy days came in Week 3 (289/3 with five rushing yards) and Week 9 (284/4 with nine rushing yards). Smith gained only 2.7 yards per rush on his 41 carries with no scores.

Despite his dismal outlook, the Jets have rushing and receiving talent at running back, and WR Garrett Wilson should be a full go in Week 1. The addition of two talented players in the first round of this year’s draft (WR Omar Cooper and TE Kenyon Sadig) adds speed and depth to New York’s passing game. WR Adonai Mitchell and TE Mason Taylor also bring upside to the Jets’ offense.

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