Running Back · New York Jets
Breece Hall — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
Analysis by Shawn Childs, from his 2026 guide — his words, unedited.
The case
- · Hall checks the three boxes that fantasy drafters should strive to fill at the running back position – yards, scoring, and catches.
- · The Jets paid him close to $46 million for three seasons in May.
- · New York improved their offensive skill players in the offseason, with the exception of the quarterback position.
- · Hall scored fewer than 10.00 fantasy points in eight games of his 16 starts last year.
- · The Jets’ running backs ranked 24th in PPR fantasy points (332.30), but gained 9.1 yards per catch (3rd best in the league).
Question marks
- · New York has three talented, viable running backs.
- · Hall was listed on the injury report with a knee issue for multiple weeks last year, which was also the case in 2024. He had a torn ACL in his left knee.
- · The Jets had the worst passing offense (2,784 yards with 14 touchdowns ~ 5.6 yards per catch) in the NFL.
Shawn's conclusion
Some fantasy touts have been selling Hall as a great value in 2026. He’s gained over 1,350 combined yards in three consecutive years with a peak of 299 touches in 2023. Over the past three seasons, Hall missed two games. I sense more injury risk than his profile shows. His floor from week-to-week grades well, and he has the tools to offer impact games. Coin toss for me due to him underachieving my expectations over the past two years (RB16 and RB19).
More on Hall
The pass-catching luster for Hall left the building in 2025 (36/350/1 on 48 targets) despite gaining 9.7 yards per catch with four plays resulting in 20 yards or more (two reached the 40-yard mark). In 2023, the Jets looked his way 95 times in the passing game, leading to 76 catches for 591 yards and four touchdowns.
Hall comes off a career high in rushing attempts (243) and rushing yards (1,065), but touchdowns (4) remain a weakness in his fantasy profile. He also had eight run plays gain at least 20 yards (career-best). Over the past three seasons, Hall finished with 1,585, 1,359, and 1,411 combined yards while ranking 2nd (290.50), 16th (242.90), and 19th (209.70) in fantasy points.
When at his best in 2025, Hall rushed for over 100 yards in four matchups (19/107, 14/113, 18/133/2, and 14/111/1) while gaining over 100 combined yards in three other contests (111, 125, and 119). The Jets had him on the field for 61.1% of their plays, compared to 67.5% in 2024 and 60.6% in 2023.
For multiple weeks last season, Hall was listed on the injury report with knee issues, but he only missed Week 18. The Jets had him on the field for a minimum of 49% of their plays in his 16 starts.
An injury to Braelon Allen in Week 4 narrowed down the Jets' running back rotation last season from three to two players, which probably helped Hall’s overall opportunity. In the early draft season in the National Fantasy Football Championship, Hall ranks 16th at running back with an ADP of 36.
His overall package would be elite in a high-scoring offense, which worked wonders for Priest Holmes in 2002 and 2003 (21 touchdowns over his first 35 NFL starts with the Ravens and Chiefs – 51 scored over his following 30 starts in Kansas City at age 29 and 30).
Hall falls into a wild card category for me this summer. I don’t trust the Jets’ offense to create winning touchdowns or catches for their lead running back, and they will certainly rotate in Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis, leading to sniped fantasy production in all areas.
To be a mid-tier RB2 in 2026, Hall will need to score about 220.00 fantasy points in PPR leagues, requiring about 1,300 combined yards with seven touchdowns and close to 50 catches. Unfortunately, this outlook paints him as only a steady fantasy running back, instead of the difference-maker we expected after his sophomore season in the NFL. I also fear that his lingering knee issue last year may be a hint of a bigger issue down the road.
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