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Wide Receiver · Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

Shawn's rank: WR8NFFC ADP 29Bye 13Updated July 30, 2026

Analysis by Shawn Childs, from his 2026 guide — his words, unedited.

The case

  • · Early fantasy drafters don’t respect Flowers growth in 2025. He ranked seventh in PPR fantasy points (246.30) in any offense that played well below expectations offensively due to Lamar Jackson getting injured.
  • · The Ravens ranked last in the NFL in pass attempts (422) and completions (278) in 2025.
  • · Flowers accounted for 30.9% of Baltimore’s completions last year and 36.9% of their receiving yards.
  • · The Ravens’ top wideout set career highs in catches (86), receiving yards (1,211), and targets (118) last year.
  • · Three of his best four fantasy days (20.60, 22.20, and 29.80) came over the last five weeks.
  • · He had no impact games with a floor ratio (15.00 fantasy points or higher) in 29.4% of his starts, with two bust outcomes (2/13 and 2/6).

Question marks

  • · How does a new coaching staff affect Lamar Jackson’s passing opportunity?
  • · Flowers can’t have a trust floor in most starts until he scores more touchdowns (16 over 50 games).
  • · His WR1 profile last year (246.30 PPR fantasy points) would have ranked 15th in 2023 and 11th in 2024.

Shawn's conclusion

The structure of Baltimore's receiving core in 2026 paints another gear in Flower’s opportunity and fantasy ceiling. Unfortunately, he doesn’t check enough boxes for the fantasy market to fight for him in drafts. The Ravens’ tight ends have lost their previous catch luster, and Baltimore doesn’t feature their running backs in the passing game. Based on his ADP in the NFFC, I expect him to beat expectations, which means I’m buying at a discount rather than a premium despite my positive outlook in his projections.

More on Flowers

Flowers has developed into a more intriguing receiver in 2026, especially with Baltimore expected to rely more on the wide receiver after losing some of the younger tight end depth in the offseason.

His rookie year was a steady, productive introduction (914 combined yards, six touchdowns, and 77 catches on 108 targets), with a 71.3% catch rate, good enough for a WR3 finish (207.00 PPR points). A few drops (5) and some early miscommunication with Lamar Jackson kept his ceiling in check, but Flowers hit his stride down the stretch, delivering five of his best games over his final seven starts (5/62/2, 6/60/1, 9/72/1, 3/106/1, and 5/115/1). Baltimore fed him double-digit targets five times.

Year two brought a deeper role and bigger numbers (1,059 receiving yards, 19 catches of 20-plus yards, and a yards-per-catch jump from 11.1 to 14.3). His catch rate dipped to 63.8%, but that was an expected tradeoff for the increased depth of his routes. Flowers was one of the most productive receivers in football through the first nine weeks, with five standout performances (7/91/1, 7/111, 9/132, 7/115, and 5/127/2) mixed in among three empty outings (3/23, 1/10, 1/30).

The second half of 2024 is when his profile got complicated. Baltimore gave him just 49 targets over his final eight starts (6.1 per game), leading to only 75.40 PPR points over that stretch (a sharp drop from his first-half pace). His lone bright spot was a Week 16 performance (5/103) before a knee injury ended his season in the finale after just 14 plays.

Despite setting career highs in catches (86), receiving yards (1,211), and targets (118) in 2025, Flowers posted only one elite game (7/151/1) over his first 12 starts, which came in Week 1. He lulled fantasy game managers into less trust over his next 11 games (eight double-digit fantasy games in PPR formats), before turning in a fantasy stud over his final five matchups (8/126, 3/68/1, 7/102/1, 4/30/1, and 4/138/2 – 20.48 FPPG). Flowers repeated his big play value (14.1 yards per catch with 19 receptions gaining at least 20 yards).

Over his three seasons in the NFL, the Ravens gave him 27 rushing attempts, resulting in 174 yards and two touchdowns, adding a hidden slice to his fantasy value.

Mark Andrews (48/422/5 on 70 targets) was no longer a top tight end in 2025, supported by fewer targets as well in 2023 (61 over 10 games) and 2024 (69). Based on his direction and with Isiah Likely no longer on the roster, the Ravens’ wide receivers should have a natural increase in targets this year, which should be a win for Flowers. His next step should be 1,400 combined yards with about seven touchdowns and 100 catches, painting him as a top-10 wideout in 2026.

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