SportsHack.ai
Menu

NFL

2026 GuideRankingsProjectionsPropsGame Logs2025 Backtest

MLB

MLB DataTonight's LeadersPropsParlay LabLineups

Tools

Parlay Lab (NFL)Reality Engine
Season pass

MLB Parlay Lab

Ask for a ticket shape; the executor does all math. Ranked-by labels, never "best bets."

Strikeouts (issued line grid) — v1.0 · 4,570 held-out 2025 starts · worst-bucket ECE 0.0277 · mean PIT 0.4977Hits (0.5 / 1.5) — v1.1-park · park-adjusted · 41,881 held-out 2025 batter-games · worst-bucket ECE 0.0073 · mean PIT 0.4975Total bases (0.5–3.5) — v1.1-park · park-adjusted · 41,881 held-out 2025 batter-games · worst-bucket ECE 0.0090 · mean PIT 0.4947Home runs (0.5) — v1.1-park · park-adjusted · 41,881 held-out 2025 batter-games · worst-bucket ECE 0.0047 · mean PIT 0.5018

No confirmed lineups: batter models project who plays from trailing history — a scratched batter voids at the book but is a projection miss here. No platoon layer (fit chose zero). No injury/weather news. Same-game combos refused (correlation not modeled). Cross-game legs treated independent. Anything without an issued model number renders [MARKET-ONLY].

Slate: 2026-08-05 · graded record accruing — 1 night graded · data: live repo.

Clear
3 legs, safest2 legs, biggest disagreements3 legs, veterans onlysafest 3, hitters toocheapest book hold, 2 legs
more examples
3 unders, biggest disagreements2 legs with one Dodgers legstrikeout legs only, safest 3show me the ladder for the safest legsbest 6-legpitchers only, safest 3strikeout legs only, biggest disagreementsk-only unders, 3 legspitchers only, cheapest holdpitchers only, veteranshitters only, safest 3hitters only, biggest disagreementsbatters only, cheapest hold, 2 legshitters only, undershitters only, veteranstop 5 most likely to homer tonight

Top 5 tonight, ranked by model P(home run) — a ranked list, not "best bets": the top of this list still misses most nights.

1Kyle SchwarberPHI · PHI vs WSH31.0%yes +500 [BetRivers] · uncut price, includes vig2157 AB
2Shohei OhtaniLAD · CHC vs LAD30.0%yes +205 [BetRivers] · uncut price, includes vig2139 AB
3Yordan AlvarezHOU · HOU vs TOR26.2%yes +210 [BetRivers] · uncut price, includes vig1533 AB
4Junior CamineroTB · COL vs TB25.6%yes +210 [BetRivers] · uncut price, includes vig1225 AB ⚠
5Corey SeagerTEX · SF vs TEX23.9%yes +265 [Caesars] · uncut price, includes vig1532 AB

Even the slate's best homer chance is ~31% — it misses 2 of 3 nights. One-sided book prices shown for reference only; they can't be devigged, so no disagreement is claimed.